Pinterest Google+

Give a political operative a blog and rarely do they articulate a message digestible to political newcomers who reside outside the beltway – until now.

Stuart Roy, [important guy at important company] is the latest political wonk to try his hand at blogging – and if I do say so myself – he done well.

Roy finally put the presidential race into context people might just understand and care about – a sporting context.

The celebrated baseball statistician Bill James crossed over recently to put together a formula that can tell you with certainty when a basketball lead is permanently safe in any given game.

o Take the number of points one team is ahead.
o Subtract three.
o Add a half-point if the team that is ahead has the ball, and subtract a half-point if the other team has the ball. (Numbers less than zero become zero.)
o Square that.
o If the result is greater than the number of seconds left in the game, the lead is safe.
o (For those who really care, that means you can safely leave the game if your team is ahead by 17 with a little more than 3:00 to go.)

Someone will soon share the political equivalent of this formula with Hillary Clinton. Before the end of April the Democrats will have their nominee. No battling it out through the end of the primaries. No brokered convention. No credentialing battle. Hillary will drop out of the race during this cruelest month.

Mr. Roy, the pressure is now clearly in your court – the next time you pen a post, we certainly hope you continue to speak in sports analogies. 

We’ll be watching…